Knobs & Handles — Cross-Campaign Product Analysis

Summary

Knobs and handles are a higher-value category than per-unit pricing suggests. Order data shows customers buy an average of 8 units per order, giving a real AOV of ~£86 (median £46) for knob/handle-only orders — comparable to table legs. However, Google Ads performance has been poor: the dedicated PMax campaign (Dec 12–23) returned 0.37x ROAS while consuming £745, and Shopping Catch All campaigns show early promise at 2.11x ROAS but on only 4 conversions over 6 weeks. The PMax campaign likely cannibalised Shopping traffic — turning it off in January did not reduce overall knob/handle conversions.

The category is potentially viable through Shopping at the right scale. The problem was the PMax campaign structure, not the product economics.

Data Coverage

  • Google Ads period: Dec 12, 2025 – Feb 10, 2026 (61 days)
  • Order data: Full order history (3,033 orders containing knobs/handles)
  • Missing: November 2025 Google Ads data (PMax was reportedly running at ~4.5x ROAS in Nov). Data sync begins Dec 12.
  • Source: google_ads_product_raw_daily, google_ads_raw_daily, google_ads_search_term_daily, orders (full_order JSON)
  • Products: 7 knobs (Bowl 40mm, Conical 18mm, Disk 30mm, Hex 30mm, Knurl 18mm, Knurl 40mm, Square 30mm) and 3 pull handles (Bar Trim, Knurl 15mm, Spiral 12mm)
  • Finishes: Matt Black, Brushed Brass, Satin Copper, Industrial Nickel (knobs); same plus size variations for handles

Product Pricing & Actual Order Behaviour

Unit prices

ProductUnit PriceType
Conical 18mm / Knurl 18mm Knob£6.95Knob
Disk 30mm / Hex 30mm / Square 30mm Knob£7.95Knob
Bowl 40mm / Knurl 40mm Knob£8.95Knob
Pull Handle (T-Bar 55mm)£9.95Handle
Pull Handle (140mm)£12.95Handle
Pull Handle (180mm)£15.95Handle
Pull Handle (300mm)£19.95Handle

What customers actually buy (3,033 orders analysed)

MetricValue
Knob/handle-only orders84% (2,538 of 3,033)
Mixed orders (knobs + other products)16% (495)
Average knob/handle qty per order7.8 units
Average order subtotal£98
Average knob/handle value per order£83
Knob/handle % of total order value84%

Knob/handle-only orders:

MetricValue
Average order value£86.45
Median order value£45.65
Median quantity4 units
Average quantity8.4 units

Order value distribution (knob-only orders):

Value RangeOrders%
Under £101857%
£10–1944518%
£20–2925710%
£30–4946518%
£50–7439115%
£75–991827%
£100–1492128%
£150–1991084%
£200+29312%

Quantity distribution (all orders):

QtyOrders%Cumulative
142314%14%
256519%33%
3–463621%54%
5–640313%67%
7–1037212%79%
11–2037112%91%
21+2639%100%

People buy knobs in quantity. Only 14% buy a single unit. Two-thirds buy 3 or more. Nearly a quarter buy 10+. This means the real AOV is not £7–9 — it’s £46–86 depending on whether you use median or mean.

Monthly order volume (organic + all channels)

MonthOrdersKnob-Only Avg ValueAvg Qty
2024-1239£545.3
2025-0156£848.1
2025-0256£827.0
2025-0369£807.9
2025-0466£11711.2
2025-0554£626.8
2025-0671£10513.9
2025-0755£1079.6
2025-0842£837.8
2025-0961£696.1
2025-1044£11311.3
2025-1155£776.8

Consistent ~50–70 orders/month. November (when PMax was reportedly at 4.5x ROAS) had 55 orders — not materially different from months before or after PMax was running. This supports the cannibalization theory.

Campaign Overview

All campaigns touching knobs & handles products

CampaignTypePeriodImprClicksCPCCostConvRevenueROAS
PMax: Knobs Only (SC)PMaxDec 12–23281K3,434£0.22£7458£2780.37x
Shopping Catch All <£20ShoppingJan 26–Feb 104,83778£0.71£553£2083.77x
Brand ShoppingShoppingDec 12–Jan 204,23250£0.78£391£250.64x
Shopping Catch All >£20ShoppingDec 12–Feb 101,78922£0.73£160£00.00x
TOTALDec 12–Feb 10292K3,584£0.24~£85512~£5110.60x

The blended 0.60x ROAS is dragged down almost entirely by the PMax campaign. Shopping-only performance (excl. PMax) is £110 cost / £233 revenue = 2.11x ROAS.

PMax Channel Breakdown (Dec 12–23)

Channel% SpendClicksCostCPCConvRevenueROAS
Search68.9%374£514£1.378£2780.54x
Display25.5%3,046£190£0.060£00.00x
YouTube5.4%13£41£3.120£00.00x
Partners0.2%1£1£0.540£00.00x

31% of PMax budget went to non-Search channels with zero conversions. The worst Display waste ratio of any PMax campaign in the account.

The PMax Cannibalization Question

Timeline

PeriodPMax StatusPMax BudgetShopping Active?What Happened
Nov 2025Running~£10–20/day?YesReportedly ~4.5x ROAS. 55 total knob orders that month.
Dec 12–23Running£60/dayYesBudget tripled+. 0.37x ROAS. 8 attributed conversions.
Dec 24–Jan 25PausedYesShopping Catch All handles knob traffic passively.
Jan 26–Feb 10PausedYesShopping <£20 picks up. 3 conversions in first week.

What the data suggests

The PMax budget increase (Nov → Dec) did not increase conversions. If November had ~4.5x ROAS at a lower budget, and December had 0.37x ROAS at £60/day, the higher budget bought mostly junk Display/YouTube impressions. The Search portion (£514 for 8 conversions = £64/conv) was far more expensive than November’s implied cost per conversion.

Turning PMax off did not reduce conversions. Shopping Catch All <£20 picked up 3 conversions in its first two weeks of serving knobs/handles (Jan 26–Feb 10) at £55 cost, compared to PMax’s 8 conversions in 12 days at £745 cost. Even adjusting for the shorter period, the Shopping campaign’s cost per conversion (£18) is dramatically better than PMax’s (£93).

The organic order volume was stable throughout. ~55 orders/month with or without PMax running. This doesn’t prove PMax had zero incremental impact (we can’t see channel attribution for organic orders), but it does mean the £745 PMax spend didn’t produce a visible uplift in total order volume.

Conclusion: PMax was likely buying conversions that would have happened through Shopping anyway — at 5–8x the cost. The algorithm, faced with limited Search inventory for a niche product, dumped budget into Display and YouTube fill. The conversions it did capture on Search were at £64/conv — viable if the AOV is £86 (1.3x ROAS), but poor given Shopping captures similar conversions at £18/conv.

PMax suppressed Shopping during the overlap

PMax takes auction priority over Standard Shopping — this is Google’s documented behaviour. The data confirms it: during the 12 days PMax was running (Dec 12–23), Shopping Catch All served knob products with only 1–5 impressions per day and zero clicks. PMax completely suppressed Shopping from learning or serving on these products.

PeriodPMax StatusShopping knob impressions/weekShopping knob clicksShopping conversions
Dec 12–23Running1–5/day (~28 total)00
Dec 24–Jan 25Paused6–93/week (ramping slowly)5 total0
Jan 26–Feb 10Paused113–264/week34 total3 (7.25x ROAS)

After PMax was paused, Shopping didn’t immediately backfill — it took 5 weeks for Shopping to start converting on knob terms. Google’s algorithm had no performance history for these products in Shopping because PMax had been claiming all the auctions. The Jan 26–Feb 10 conversions represent Shopping finally building enough data to optimise.

This is a critical finding for any future product-specific PMax campaigns: running PMax alongside Standard Shopping for niche products actively harms Shopping’s ability to learn and optimise, and the damage persists for weeks after PMax is removed.

Product-Level Performance

All campaigns combined, grouped by product (product-level data only — lower than campaign totals because PMax Display/YouTube isn’t product-attributed):

ProductImpressionsClicksCostConvRevenueROAS
Knurl 15mm Pull Handle4,46962£69.131£24.850.36x
Conical 18mm Knob152,993450£68.781£34.950.51x
Knurl 18mm Knob158,890644£60.280£0.000.00x
Disk 30mm Knob162,020365£58.820£0.000.00x
Square 30mm Knob181,384607£51.142£79.181.55x
Bowl 40mm Knob163,640357£46.471£13.900.30x
Hex 30mm Knob150,211471£32.850£0.000.00x
Bar Trim Pull Handle2,93839£20.991£128.796.14x
Spiral 12mm Pull Handle1,13317£6.550£0.000.00x
Knurl 40mm Knob (new)4188£3.860£0.000.00x

The high impression counts (150K+) are overwhelmingly from PMax’s 12-day run. Strip out PMax and most individual knobs have under 100 Shopping impressions.

Conversion Detail

DateProductCampaignClicksCostRevenueNotes
Dec 14Knurl 15mm Pull HandleBrand Shopping1£3.54£24.85~2 handles
Dec 18Conical 18mm KnobPMax2£2.34£34.955x £6.95
Dec 22Bowl 40mm KnobPMax10£7.90£13.90~1-2 knobs (small order)
Jan 26Bar Trim Pull HandleShopping <£201£1.91£128.79Multi-item order
Jan 28Square 30mm KnobShopping <£201£0.54£79.18~10x £7.95

The conversion values broadly align with the multi-unit buying pattern seen in order data. The £34.95 and £79.18 values represent 5-knob and 10-knob purchases respectively — exactly the kind of bulk buying the order data shows.

Shopping Campaign Weekly Progression (excl. PMax)

WeekImprClicksCPCCostConvRevenueROAS
Dec 12–143555£1.06£5.321.0£24.854.67x
Dec 15–215063£0.52£1.550£00.00x
Dec 22–285548£0.86£6.880£00.00x
Dec 29–Jan 493614£0.81£11.400£00.00x
Jan 5–111,02915£0.55£8.220£00.00x
Jan 12–181,34217£0.87£14.860£00.00x
Jan 19–251,29210£0.68£6.830£00.00x
Jan 26–Feb 11,86433£0.67£22.043.0£207.979.44x
Feb 2–82,27325£0.80£20.000£00.00x
Feb 9–1070720£0.65£13.070£00.00x
Totals10,858150£0.73£110.174£232.822.11x

Impressions and clicks are growing week-on-week as Shopping algorithms learn the product data. With only 4 conversions over 6 weeks it’s too early to declare this viable, but the trajectory is positive.

Search Term Analysis

Top search terms by clicks

Search TermClicksImpressionsCostConvRevenue
copper kitchen handles8106£10.520£0
copper handles for kitchen cabinets44£4.390£0
knurled copper kitchen handles37£5.080£0
brushed copper kitchen handles311£2.010£0
copper drawer handles22£3.460£0
copper door handles210£2.100£0
copper cupboard handles29£1.420£0

Converting search terms

Search TermClicksCostConvRevenue
brushed brass cabinet handles1£1.911.0£128.79
square black knob1£0.542.0£79.18

Both from single clicks — insufficient for any statistical conclusion.

Brass-specific search terms

“Brass” terms had only 16 clicks and £12.70 total spend across the entire period. “Copper” dominates the search demand for this product type. Several “brass” terms are actually matching to wall hooks rather than knobs/handles.

Search intent observations

“Copper kitchen handles” and “cabinet handles” dominate — generic terms where Hairpin competes against B&Q, Screwfix, and Dunelm. The search terms show limited branded or product-specific demand (“knurl knob,” “hex knob” etc. don’t appear). This suggests paid search captures people looking for generic hardware, not people specifically seeking Hairpin’s design-led range. Whether that’s good (new customer acquisition) or bad (low intent match) depends on the conversion rate with more data.

Revised Assessment

The AOV changes everything

CategoryPer-Unit PriceActual AOVPMax ROASShopping ROAS
Table Tops£50–150~£1504.20xHealthy
Knobs & Handles£7–9£46–860.54x (Search)2.11x (early)
Knife Rack£40–50~£502.38xMarginal

At an AOV of £46–86, knobs/handles sit alongside or above knife racks in terms of order value. The PMax failure was a campaign structure problem (budget dumped into Display waste), not a product economics problem.

What needs investigation

1. Are multi-unit buyers converting through paid search? The 4 Shopping conversions show values of £25, £35, £80, and £129 — suggesting yes, multi-unit buyers are reaching the site through ads. But 4 conversions isn’t proof.

2. Is there a quantity incentive gap? The order data shows people buy in bulk, but nothing in the current ad or site experience specifically encourages this. Multi-pack pricing, quantity discounts, or “complete your kitchen” messaging could increase both conversion rate and AOV from paid traffic.

3. What was the November performance really? We don’t have Nov Google Ads data in the system. If PMax genuinely returned 4.5x ROAS at a lower budget, the product works in paid — the December failure was about budget scaling, not product fit. Getting November data synced would confirm this.

Recommendations

1. Do not restart PMax for knobs/handles. The PMax format is wrong for this product: limited Search inventory means the algorithm fills budget with Display/YouTube waste. The December experiment proved this at scale.

2. Monitor Shopping Catch All performance. The <£20 campaign is picking up knob/handle conversions at reasonable CPCs (£0.71). Give it 2–3 more months of data before deciding whether to create a dedicated Shopping campaign. Target: 20+ conversions for statistical significance.

3. Consider a dedicated Standard Shopping campaign at low budget. If Shopping Catch All continues to perform, a dedicated “Knobs & Handles” Standard Shopping campaign at £10–15/day with TARGET_ROAS bidding could scale the category without PMax’s Display bleed. This should only be tried after confirming at least 15–20 conversions through Catch All.

4. Incentivise multi-unit purchases on site. The data shows people naturally buy 4–8 units, but the site doesn’t actively encourage this. Options:

  • Quantity pricing tiers (e.g., “Buy 6+ save 10%”)
  • “Complete your kitchen” bundles with curated knob sets
  • Cross-sell on product pages showing “most customers buy X units”
  • Multi-pack listings in the Shopify feed (6-pack, 10-pack) which would also improve Shopping ad AOV visibility

5. “Brass” is not a viable paid search angle. Only 16 clicks on all brass-specific terms. “Copper” has more search demand but also hasn’t converted. Content/organic is the right channel for finish-specific marketing.

6. Sync November Google Ads data if possible. Confirming the reported 4.5x ROAS in November would validate that the product works in paid search at the right budget level, and that December’s failure was a scaling mistake rather than a fundamental problem.

  • ./pmax-knobs-analysis.md — PMax: Knobs Only Shopping analysis (paused campaign)
  • ./shopping-catch-all-analysis.md — Shopping Catch All >£20 analysis
  • ./shopping-top-performers-analysis.md — Shopping Top Performers analysis